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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 4 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 4 April 2024. BSC Young Boys vs Grasshoppers led the list at 56% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
✓ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ BSC Young Boys Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
0 : 0 FT
Feyenoord
Win 4%
Draw 9%
Win 87%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
3 : 3 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
0 : 0 FT
Pendikspor
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Premier League · England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
1 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 3 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
0 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#13 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 3 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Premier League · England
Chelsea
4 : 3 FT
Manchester United
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 4 April 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs Grasshoppers at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.