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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 6 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 6 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to AC Milan vs Lecce at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
3 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ AC Milan Clean Sheet 54%
#2 League One · England
Wigan
0 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#3 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
1 : 2 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#6 Primera División · Chile
Nublense
3 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#7 Championship · England
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
3 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#10 League One · England
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 37%
Draw 38%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 62%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 11%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 0 FT
Concarneau
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 1 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#17 Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 2 FT
FC Sochi
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 1 FT
Bordeaux
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 6 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Milan vs Lecce at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.