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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 23 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 23 December 2023. Leicester vs Rotherham sits top on 53% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Leicester
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 39%
Draw 38%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
Atalanta
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 3 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#8 Premier League · England
Fulham
0 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 3 FT
Feralpisalo
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 2 FT
Lecco
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 0 FT
Moreirense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#15 League One · England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
4 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 League One · England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 0 FT
Ascoli
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 23 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leicester vs Rotherham at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.