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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 28 November 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 28 November 2023. Mansfield Town vs Tranmere led the list at 58% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 68% Mansfield Town Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Championship Β· England
Hull City
4 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 64% Hull City Clean Sheet 56%
#3 League One Β· England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 3 FT
Lincoln
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
0 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 28%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#8 Championship Β· England
QPR
4 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#9 League Two Β· England
Morecambe
1 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
0 : 0 FT
Lecco
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 League One Β· England
Reading
5 : 1 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#12 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
4 : 0 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
2 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#15 League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 League One Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
3 : 1 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#19 League One Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#20 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
0 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 28 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mansfield Town vs Tranmere at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.