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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 26 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 26 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo at 47% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies seven of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
5 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 68%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
3 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
5 : 3 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
3 : 2 FT
Flamengo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
3 : 2 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 26 October 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.