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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 3 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 3 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Famalicao vs Arouca at 47% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 19%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lampang FC
0 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 2 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
0 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
4 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
Bordeaux
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
5 : 1 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 32%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 3 April 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Famalicao vs Arouca at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.