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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 5 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Wednesday 5 April 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK sits top on 42% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 1 FT
PAOK
✓ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 15%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 56%
BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Perugia
1 : 3 FT
Reggina
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
#4 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League · England
Manchester United
1 : 0 FT
Brentford
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 5 FT
Newcastle
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#7 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 0 FT
Sporting CP
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Honka
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
2 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 26%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 2 FT
Al-Raed
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
1 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
0 : 0 FT
Lahti
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
2 : 1 FT
Haka
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 5 April 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.