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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 4 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 4 February 2023. Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon led the list at 58% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 58%
#2 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Bolton Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
3 : 0 FT
Ascoli
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 3 FT
Lille
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#8 League One Β· England
Derby
5 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
3 : 4 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#10 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
3 : 2 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
3 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
5 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
3 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 55%
#20 League Two Β· England
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 4 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.