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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 5 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 February 2023. Panathinaikos vs Lamia sits top on 55% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 39%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the clean sheet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 33%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 55%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 FT
Valladolid
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
0 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
1 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 59%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 5 FT
Ajax
Win 7%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
4 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 3 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
0 : 0 FT
Angers
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
1 : 0 FT
AC Milan
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Real Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
2 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 4 FT
Bangkok United
Win 25%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lampang FC
1 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
2 : 1 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 5 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Panathinaikos vs Lamia at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.