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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 6 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Twente vs Emmen at 51% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
0 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#6 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 0 FT
Al Taee
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Elche
0 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Vizela
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
2 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
3 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 6 January 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Twente vs Emmen at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.