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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 9 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 9 September 2022. BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior led the list at 50% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Antofagasta
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
3 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#10 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
0 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 3 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
3 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 9 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.