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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 5 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 5 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Kalmar FF vs Varbergs BoIS FC at 54% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Kalmar FF Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
0 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 16%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 1 FT
Miedz Legnica
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
3 : 2 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
4 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
1 : 0 FT
Almeria
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 3 FT
Metal Kharkiv
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
1 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 4 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 33%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 3 FT
FC OSS
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
1 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
1 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
Sunderland
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
2 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 5 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kalmar FF vs Varbergs BoIS FC at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.