Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 4 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 4 September 2022. Corinthians vs Internacional led the list at 56% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
2 : 2 FT
Internacional
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 71% Corinthians Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 3 FT
Botafogo
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% Fortaleza EC Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 37%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 73%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Ceara
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61%
#5 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
4 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
2 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
2 : 0 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
2 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 2 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#15 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
4 : 0 FT
Elche
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#18 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 18%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 60%
Over 2.5 53%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Championship · England
Reading
2 : 1 FT
Stoke City
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 4 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Corinthians vs Internacional at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.