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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 25 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 25 April 2022. IFK Varnamo vs Degerfors IF sits top on 49% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#2 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 4 FT
Blackburn
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 0 FT
Niort
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
2 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 26%
Draw 39%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
0 : 2 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 27%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
3 : 1 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecce
2 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Spal
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
0 : 0 FT
Reggina
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone
3 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
3 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
4 : 1 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Krakow
3 : 4 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 25 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Varnamo vs Degerfors IF at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.