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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 22 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 22 April 2022. Valenciennes vs Ajaccio led the list at 54% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
0 : 3 FT
Quevilly
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
7 : 1 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
3 : 2 FT
Rodez
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 58%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#17 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
3 : 3 FT
Guingamp
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#20 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 22 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Valenciennes vs Ajaccio at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.