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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 19 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Wednesday 19 January 2022. Lille vs Lorient led the list at 47% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
3 : 1 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#3 Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
0 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
2 : 3 FT
Tottenham
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Altay
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
2 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
2 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 0 FT
Apollon Smirnis
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Championship Β· England
Reading
0 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Toulouse
4 : 0 FT
Nancy
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
1 : 3 FT
Manchester United
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 16 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 19 January 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lille vs Lorient at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.