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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 17 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Monday 17 January 2022. AC Milan vs Spezia led the list at 42% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 22%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
6 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 17 January 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Milan vs Spezia at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.