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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 19 November 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 19 November 2021. Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United sits top on 52% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 21%
Draw 33%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
5 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 11%
Draw 24%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 16%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 5 FT
Excelsior
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
5 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Championship Β· England
QPR
2 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 6 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 19 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.