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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 28 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 28 August 2021. Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom sits top on 53% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 48%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#2 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 2 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 20%
Draw 42%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 67%
#3 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
Win 12%
Draw 24%
Win 65%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
1 : 4 FT
Auxerre
Win 13%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#6 Championship · England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 14%
Draw 26%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 25%
✓ Draw 46%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 71%
#8 League Two · England
Salford City
3 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 22%
Draw 43%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#9 League One · England
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 24%
Draw 33%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
#10 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#11 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 15%
Draw 34%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
0 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#13 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
1 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 20%
Draw 39%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#15 League One · England
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 35%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#16 Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
7 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
✓ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 18%
Draw 37%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#18 League One · England
Rotherham
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#19 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
✓ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#20 Premier League · England
Manchester City
5 : 0 FT
Arsenal
✓ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 28 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.