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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 27 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 27 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Chornomorets vs Oleksandria at 51% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
2 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
Win 14%
Draw 35%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
3 : 0 FT
Alaves
Win 31%
Draw 43%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#3 Premier League · Russia
Ural
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
Win 28%
Draw 44%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 22%
Draw 37%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
5 : 1 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#7 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 24%
✓ Draw 40%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 18%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 58%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0 : 0 FT
Al Baten
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 0 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 1 FT
Maritimo
Win 28%
Draw 37%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
5 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#17 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
0 : 0 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 32%
Draw 39%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 56%
#19 League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
Rubin
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 27 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chornomorets vs Oleksandria at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.