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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 9 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 9 May 2021. Mjallby AIF vs Ostersunds FK sits top on 48% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
✓ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 3 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Vasalund
0 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
2 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 2 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 26%
Draw 42%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
Haka
Win 36%
Draw 40%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 59%
#7 Super League · China
Chongqing Lifan
3 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 23%
Draw 38%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
Win 29%
✓ Draw 39%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Antofagasta
1 : 2 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#10 Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 2 FT
Palestino
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Santiago Wanderers
0 : 3 FT
D. Melipilla
Win 28%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Primera División · Chile
Curico Unido
2 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#13 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
3 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 53%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 4 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0 FT
Tromso
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 9 May 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mjallby AIF vs Ostersunds FK at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.