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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 1 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 1 May 2021. Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo sits top on 52% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Superettan supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
0 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 42%
Draw 40%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#2 Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
1 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 47%
Draw 37%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
1 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 35%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 65%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
Akropolis
1 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#5 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#6 Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
0 : 4 FT
D. La Serena
Win 26%
Draw 41%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 4 FT
Daegu FC
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
1 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 27%
✓ Draw 39%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
1 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Antofagasta
Win 26%
Draw 36%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 1 May 2021?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.