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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 3 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Monday 3 May 2021. Honka vs Mariehamn sits top on 53% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Veikkausliiga supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 41%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Honka
0 : 2 FT
Mariehamn
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
2 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
1 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HIFK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
0 : 2 FT
Ilves
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 22%
Draw 36%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Longford Town
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
D. Melipilla
2 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
Win 23%
Draw 43%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 24%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
1 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#12 Super League Β· China
Chongqing Lifan
2 : 2 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 0 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Huanghai
0 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 28%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 3 May 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Honka vs Mariehamn at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.