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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 23 February 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 23 February 2024. ADO Den Haag vs MVV sits top on 61% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 61%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 58%
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 55%
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 55%
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 53%
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 52%
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 52%
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 2 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy 51%
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 49%
Groningen
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 48%
Patro Eisden
3 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Championship Β· England 47%
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 46%
Holstein Kiel
3 : 4 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile 45%
U. Catolica
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain 42%
Real Sociedad
1 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 42%
SV Wehen
1 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 41%
SK Beveren
2 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 16 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 23 February 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs MVV at 61% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.