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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Saturday 14 January 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 14 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Brighton vs Liverpool at 55% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England 55%
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Liverpool
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 53%
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 52%
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 52%
KV Mechelen
2 : 1 FT
Oostende
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France 51%
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 League One Β· England 51%
Accrington ST
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Premier League Β· England 50%
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Premier League Β· England 49%
Brentford
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy 49%
Cagliari
2 : 0 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 49%
Genk
1 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Championship Β· England 48%
Sunderland
1 : 3 FT
Swansea
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain 47%
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 47%
Ajax
0 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Championship Β· England 45%
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 44%
Antalyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Giresunspor
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 44%
Al-Raed
2 : 4 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France 44%
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 43%
Konyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 41%
Heerenveen
0 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 41%
Al Baten
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Saturday 14 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brighton vs Liverpool at 55% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.