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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 7 March 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 7 March 2027. ADO Den Haag vs Ajax sits top on 73% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
– : – 16:00
Ajax
Win 12%
Draw 14%
Win 73%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
– : – 17:30
Como
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
– : – 17:30
Inter
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Pattani
– : – 12:00
Lamphun Warrior
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
– : – 17:30
Bologna
Win 22%
Draw 19%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
– : – 16:00
Academico Viseu
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
#7 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
– : – 16:00
Cambuur
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
– : – 11:00
Port FC
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
– : – 16:00
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
– : – 11:15
Den Bosch
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
– : – 12:00
Galatasaray
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
– : – 16:00
Famalicao
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 53%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
– : – 16:00
Arouca
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
– : – 16:00
Benfica
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
– : – 17:30
Torino
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
– : – 17:30
AS Roma
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
– : – 16:00
NEC Nijmegen
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
– : – 11:00
Uthai Thani
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Süper Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
– : – 12:00
Gaziantep FK
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Monza
– : – 17:30
Genoa
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 7 March 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs Ajax at 73% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.