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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 5 March 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight fixtures clear the bar on Friday 5 March 2027. The strongest reading belongs to MVV vs Jong AZ at 46% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
: 19:00
Jong AZ
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
: 19:00
Clermont Foot
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
: 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
: 19:00
Metz
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Montpellier
: 19:00
Annecy
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Boulogne
: 19:00
Laval
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 5 March 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Jong AZ at 46% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.