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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 16 October 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 16 October 2026. FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse tops the list at 60% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 18:00
Vitesse
Win 21%
Draw 19%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
: 18:00
Excelsior
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Le Mans
: 18:45
Toulouse
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
: 18:45
Sassuolo
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
: 18:00
Clermont Foot
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
: 18:45
Shamrock Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
: 11:35
Tianjin Teda
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
: 18:45
Derry City
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
: 18:00
PAU
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Supra du Quebec
: 23:00
York United
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Championship · England
Burnley
: 19:00
Wolves
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
: 18:00
NAC Breda
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ayutthaya FC
: 12:00
Lamphun Warrior
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 16 October 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse at 60% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.