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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 19 October 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Monday 19 October 2026. Jong Utrecht vs Roda tops the list at 54% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 18:00
Roda
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Rodina Moskva
: 16:30
FC Orenburg
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 18:00
De Graafschap
Win 33%
Draw 20%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 77%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
: 16:30
Cagliari
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
: 18:45
Montpellier
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
: 18:45
Torino
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 19 October 2026?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Utrecht vs Roda at 54% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.