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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 30 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 May 2026. Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC led the list at 56% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Superettan supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ljungskile SK
1 : 3 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 22%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
0 : 3 FT
Sirius
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
2 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
2 : 2 FT
IK brage
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
5 : 0 FT
Ilves
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
2 : 1 FT
Oddevold
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 1 FT
Botafogo
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Super League Β· China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2 : 3 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#9 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
2 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 3 FT
Sandviken
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
1 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
2 : 4 FT
Colo Colo
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 30 May 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.