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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 29 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 29 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians at 52% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 FT
Bohemians
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
4 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shenyang Urban
3 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1 FT
York United
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
2 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 29 May 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.