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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Tuesday 5 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 5 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 62% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 18%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
2 : 0 FT
Inter Turku
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 23%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#7 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Super League · China
Shenyang Urban
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#13 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Super League · China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#15 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 0 FT
FC Anyang
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 5 May 2026?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.