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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 9 March 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 9 March 2025. Kallithea vs PAOK sits top on 69% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
2 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 18%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
1 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 26%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 17%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 0 FT
Anderlecht
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
2 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#14 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 32%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 2 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 1 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 3 FT
Servette FC
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
0 : 4 FT
Atalanta
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 9 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kallithea vs PAOK at 69% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.