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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 7 March 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 7 March 2025. Seraing United vs Club Brugge II led the list at 57% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
2 : 3 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 3 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 21%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
2 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
0 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Bodrum FK
1 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1 : 1 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 19 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 7 March 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Seraing United vs Club Brugge II at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.