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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 11 June 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Sunday 11 June 2023. Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United led the list at 54% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
0 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 23%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 17%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
2 : 3 FT
Tromso
Win 23%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 59%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
2 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 29%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
0 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 18%
Draw 41%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ KuPS Clean Sheet 56%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
0 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 3 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
2 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 0 FT
Molde
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 1 FT
Honka
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%
#17 Superettan Β· Sweden
Gais
4 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 17 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 11 June 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United at 54% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.