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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 21 May 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 21 May 2022. Yeni Malatyaspor vs Fenerbahçe sits top on 75% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the away win market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 8%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 22%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Altay
2 : 4 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
1 : 5 FT
FC Sochi
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 0 FT
Zenit
Win 18%
Draw 31%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 70% Zenit Clean Sheet 57%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 4 FT
Lillestrom
Win 27%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
3 : 4 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
1 : 2 FT
FC UFA
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia
Arsenal Tula
1 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 31%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 2 FT
Rennes
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
– : – CANC
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Mariupol
– : – CANC
Vorskla Poltava
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
#16 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 4 FT
Union Espanola
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
4 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 21 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Yeni Malatyaspor vs Fenerbahçe at 75% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.