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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 6 November 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 6 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Telstar vs Excelsior at 62% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 32%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 5 FT
Excelsior
Win 19%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
0 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Championship · England
Peterborough
0 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 19%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 60%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 14%
Draw 26%
Win 60%
#6 Premier League · England
Manchester United
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 20%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 59%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
1 : 1 FT
Police Tero
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 0 FT
Deinze
Win 17%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Górnik Łęczna
1 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#10 Championship · England
Cardiff
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
#11 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 81%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
1 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 17%
Draw 35%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Buriram United
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
2 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
2 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 26%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
4 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#20 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
0 : 4 FT
Bangkok United
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 6 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Excelsior at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.