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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 3 November 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 3 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Cardiff vs QPR at 56% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 53%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
3 : 4 FT
FC Seoul
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
1 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 7 FT
Fulham
Win 38%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
3 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
4 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Championship Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 29%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 68%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 4 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
1 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 2 FT
A. Italiano
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
D. Melipilla
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 3 November 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Cardiff vs QPR at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.