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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 27 October 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 27 October 2021. Empoli vs Inter sits top on 66% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 17%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 31%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
2 : 4 FT
Haka
Win 25%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 3 FT
Lahti
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
2 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
3 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
2 : 0 FT
Fluminense
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Vicenza Virtus
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
1 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 27 October 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Empoli vs Inter at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.