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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 15 August 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 15 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Slovan Liberec vs Plzen at 63% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
0 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 16%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 63%
Over 2.5 53%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 14%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
3 : 0 FT
Lyon
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 51%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
4 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 13%
Draw 36%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64% Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 56%
#6 Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 1 FT
Zenit
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 4 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 20%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 17%
Draw 36%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 14%
Draw 39%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67% Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 57%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
2 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Reims
3 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 60%
#17 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
1 : 3 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 25%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 20%
Draw 36%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#19 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
3 : 2 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
3 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 15 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slovan Liberec vs Plzen at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.