Kudrivka 0-0 Veres Rivne – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Veres Rivne at 40% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Kudrivka face Veres Rivne.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Kudrivka and Veres Rivne meet at Obolon Arena in Premier League (matchday 20). This fixture gets under way on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 13:30 UK time.
Current Form
Kudrivka's record over their last 10 games: 2W 3D 5L (0.90 PPG). Last five: L D D W D. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Kudrivka's home record over their last 10 home games: 4W 3D 3L (1.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 90% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.50 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.90 — Kudrivka are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
Veres Rivne (all games): 3W 4D 3L across their last 10 — 1.30 points per game. Last five: D L W L L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
Veres Rivne's away record over their last 10 away games: 2W 3D 5L (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 0.90 vs 1.30 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
H2H History
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 1 H2H match in our data, Veres Rivne edge it 1 wins to 0, with 0 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage. With only 1 H2H match to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 1 H2H match in our data averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 12 Sep 2025, ended Kudrivka 0–2 Veres Rivne — a Veres Rivne win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
Trading Data
Kudrivka goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 21 games, 10 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 100% of their matches in home games; of the 7 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 43%; of the 12 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 33%; BTTS occurs in 90% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 38%.
Veres Rivne goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 21 games, 10 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 80% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 57% of the time; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (away games); they fail to score in 48% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Kudrivka 67% versus Veres Rivne 38%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Kudrivka 57% | Veres Rivne 33%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Kudrivka 1.18 xG and Veres Rivne 1.33 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Kudrivka attack 1.001 / defence 1.233 | Veres Rivne attack 0.878 / defence 0.993. League average goals — home 1.188 / away 1.228. Kudrivka's defence rating of 1.233 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Veres Rivne's projected output up. Data: built from Kudrivka's last 19 games and Veres Rivne's last 48.
Result probabilities: Kudrivka 33% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 40%. Fair-value odds: Kudrivka 3.02 | Draw 3.73 | Veres Rivne 2.49. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 46% | BTTS Yes probability 51% | Total xG 2.51. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 46%/54% — the total xG of 2.51 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 51% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Veres Rivne as the most likely outcome at 40% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Veres Rivne if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.51 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 54% — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
Poisson assigns a 51% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Kudrivka 90% (last 10 home games) | Veres Rivne 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne | Competition: Premier League, matchday 20 | Venue: Obolon Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 14 March 2026 at 13:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Kudrivka 33% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 46% (Under 54%) | BTTS Yes 51% (No 49%) | xG Kudrivka 1.18 / Veres Rivne 1.33 • Poisson strength factors: Kudrivka attack 1.001 / def 1.233 | Veres Rivne attack 0.878 / def 0.993 | league avg home 1.188 / away 1.228 • Poisson stance: Veres Rivne (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.18
Kudrivka xG
Expected Goals
1.33
Veres Rivne xG
51%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne FAQs
What time does Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne kick off?
Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne kicked off at 13:30 UK time on Saturday 14 March 2026 at Obolon Arena.
What was the final score in Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Kudrivka 0 - 0 Veres Rivne.
Where is Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne being played?
The match is being played at Obolon Arena.
What competition is Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne part of?
Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne is a Premier League fixture (matchday 20) (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Our statistical model gives Kudrivka a 33% chance of winning, Veres Rivne a 40% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Veres Rivne the favourite.
Will both teams score in Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Kudrivka and Veres Rivne will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 46%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (54%).
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Kudrivka's attack at 1.00x the league average against Veres Rivne's defence at 0.99x — combine the two and it projects 1.18 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Veres Rivne's attack (0.88x) against Kudrivka's defence (1.23x) — and the away total comes out at 1.33.
These ratings are built from Kudrivka's last 19 games and Veres Rivne's last 48 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (9.8%), 0-1 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Veres Rivne Win
33%
3.02
27%
3.73
40%
2.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.8%
Away win
1 – 0
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.18
Kudrivka xG
Total xG
2.51
1.33
Veres Rivne xG
3.02
33%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
2.49
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
26%
3.78
31%
3.26
Win to Nil
9%
11.44
12%
8.13
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 10.8 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.6 | 12.8 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are Kudrivka and Veres Rivne expected to score?
The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Kudrivka and 1.33 for Veres Rivne, a combined total of 2.51.
How confident is the prediction model for Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Kudrivka come into this having played 21 games, going 6W 5D 10L for 1.10 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-D-W-D.
On the other side, Veres Rivne sit at 1.05 PPG from 21 outings (5W 7D 9L), a run that reads D-L-W-L-L across their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.10 PPG for Kudrivka against 1.05 for Veres Rivne. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
Kudrivka's home form reads 4W 3D 3L across their last 10 home games, a 1.50 PPG return.
Away from home, Veres Rivne have taken 0.90 points per game from their last 10 away games (2W 3D 5L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Kudrivka come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Kudrivka are averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game recently; Veres Rivne are on 0.86 scored and 1.38 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Kudrivka have seen both teams score in 67% of their recent games.
Last 21 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Kudrivka
Blended
Veres Rivne
Blended
Kudrivka (Home) vs Veres Rivne (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Kudrivka
Blended
Veres Rivne
Blended
❓ Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne Form FAQs
What form are Kudrivka and Veres Rivne in coming into this match?
Kudrivka have gone 6W 5D 10L in their last 21 games (1.10 PPG), while Veres Rivne have gone 5W 7D 9L in their last 21 (1.05 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Kudrivka at home or Veres Rivne away?
Kudrivka's home record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Kudrivka at home: 1.50 PPG; Veres Rivne away: 0.90 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 3 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to September 2025 — a small sample, so read the trends with care. All of them came in Premier League. The most recent was as recently as 3 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Last 3 Meetings
0
Kudrivka
1
Draws
2
Veres Rivne
Recent Meetings
❓ Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Kudrivka and Veres Rivne?
Across the 3 head-to-head matches in our data, Kudrivka have won 0, Veres Rivne have won 2, and 1 has been drawn.
When did Kudrivka and Veres Rivne last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 3 October 2026: Veres Rivne 2-1 Kudrivka.
Who has won more matches between Kudrivka and Veres Rivne?
Veres Rivne have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from the 3 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Kudrivka are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 60% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 50% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 50% of those situations.
Veres Rivne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 90% for Kudrivka, 40% for Veres Rivne — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 80% for Kudrivka and 40% for Veres Rivne. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 50% and 30% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Veres Rivne in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Kudrivka home games / Veres Rivne away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Kudrivka and Veres Rivne matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 90% of Kudrivka's games and 40% of Veres Rivne's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Kudrivka and Veres Rivne matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of Kudrivka's matches and 40% of Veres Rivne's.
Do Kudrivka and Veres Rivne matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 100% of Kudrivka's recent matches and 80% of Veres Rivne's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Kudrivka's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Obolon Arena, Regular Season - 20, as Kudrivka and Veres Rivne drew 0-0 in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Kudrivka 1.18 xG and Veres Rivne 1.33 xG, a combined 2.51. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Kudrivka fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Veres Rivne landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kudrivka attack 1.00 / defence 1.23 against Veres Rivne attack 0.88 / defence 0.99, drawn from 19/48 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Kudrivka 33% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 40%, with Veres Rivne to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kudrivka 57%, Veres Rivne 33%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Kudrivka's trading profile (21 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
Veres Rivne's trading profile (21 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 48% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Kudrivka 1.10 PPG, Veres Rivne 1.05 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Kudrivka (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.70 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.90 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.