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UK Football Predictions

English league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 11 November 2023

Kick-off times in UK time (GMT/BST)

Free UK football predictions for 11 November 2023, showing only matches from Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

UK football had 40 fixtures on Saturday 11 November 2023 across four competitions, led by Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

The model's standout reads were Colchester vs Sutton Utd for over 2.5 goals at 78%, Ipswich vs Swansea for both teams to score at 72%, and Arsenal as the strongest favourite at 76% (Arsenal vs Burnley). These are probabilities from the Poisson model, not certainties.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League logo

Premier League predictions

5 matches Β· England Premier League hub →
Wolves
2 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Arsenal
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Crystal Palace
2 : 3 FT
Everton
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Manchester United
1 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Bournemouth
2 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
Championship logo

Championship predictions

11 matches Β· England Championship hub →
Sunderland
3 : 1 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Cardiff
2 : 3 FT
Norwich
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Coventry
0 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Hull City
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Ipswich
3 : 2 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
QPR
0 : 0 FT
Bristol City
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 4 FT
Millwall
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Southampton
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Watford
5 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
League One logo

League One predictions

12 matches Β· England League One hub →
Peterborough
5 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Derby
3 : 0 FT
Barnsley
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Fleetwood Town
3 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
Leyton Orient
2 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
Northampton
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
Wycombe
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
League Two logo

League Two predictions

12 matches Β· England League Two hub →
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Bradford
1 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 64%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Grimsby
3 : 2 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Salford City
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Swindon Town
2 : 4 FT
Stockport County
Win 37%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Tranmere
3 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Walsall
0 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Wrexham
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing all 40 UK fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

UK Football β€” common questions

Which UK leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in the UK include Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup; other UK competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 11 November 2023 the page lists Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

How many UK matches were predicted on Saturday 11 November 2023?

40 UK fixtures across four competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Colchester vs Sutton Utd at 78%.

How are UK football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in UK time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in UK time (GMT/BST, the Europe/London time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find UK over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Premier League and Championship. The "UK Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top UK fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.