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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Saturday 9 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
2 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#3 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
1 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 34%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 59%
#4 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 0 FT
SSV Ulm 1846
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
2 : 1 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Oddevold
0 : 3 FT
Trelleborg
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
✓ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 2 FT
Osters IF
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#11 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
4 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
2 : 3 FT
Damac
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
1 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#15 League Two · England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
2 : 3 FT
Cosenza
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 32%
Draw 39%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
#18 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Iquique
2 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
✓ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 1 FT
Sandviken
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 2 FT
Morecambe
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.