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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Wednesday 6 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 30%
Draw 35%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Championship · England
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
0 : 3 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
3 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65% Blackburn Clean Sheet 55%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
2 : 0 FT
Criciuma
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 8 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.