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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Sunday 10 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
0 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 30%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 3 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 33%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
2 : 0 FT
Tromso
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#6 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 1 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
4 : 0 FT
Genk
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
4 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 0 FT
Guimaraes
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
3 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
4 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 35%
Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#16 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 2 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 31%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#18 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
1 : 0 FT
Nublense
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Premier League · England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.