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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Friday 8 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
0 : 3 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
3 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
0 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
0 : 0 FT
Inhulets
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
4 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
2 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 League One · England
Barnsley
2 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
2 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 27%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.