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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 2 May 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 2 May 2026. Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) sits top on 85% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 60%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 85%
Bayern München
3 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius over 1.5 goals 72%
Sirius
3 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Botafogo over 1.5 goals 72%
Botafogo
1 : 2 FT
Remo
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals 68%
Al-Hazm
0 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 19%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden Ljungskile SK over 1.5 goals 68%
Ljungskile SK
0 : 2 FT
United Nordic
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC over 1.5 goals 67%
Almere City FC
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 20%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 67%
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 66%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#9 League One Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 63%
Northampton
2 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 goals 63%
Dynamo Dresden
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 63%
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Daejeon Citizen over 1.5 goals 62%
Gwangju FC
0 : 5 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy over 1.5 goals 62%
Boulogne
1 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals 62%
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 61%
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals 61%
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 3 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#17 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals 61%
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Championship Β· England Southampton over 1.5 goals 60%
Preston
1 : 3 FT
Southampton
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals 60%
Wrexham
2 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 60%
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 2 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 85% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.