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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Saturday 4 March 2023

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Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 4 March 2023. Sparta Praha vs Teplice (Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals) led the list at 82% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 82%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 77%

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 76%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab over 1.5 goals 74%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS No 62% Al Shabab Clean Sheet 59%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals 73%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%

Premier League · England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 73%

League One · England Ipswich over 1.5 goals 70%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%

Süper Lig · Turkey Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 69%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Cercle Brugge over 1.5 goals 67%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#10

2. Bundesliga · Germany Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals 67%

Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#11

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 65%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%

#12

Bundesliga · Austria Wolfsberger AC over 1.5 goals 63%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

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Premier League · Russia Zenit over 1.5 goals 62%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

#14

Premier League · Russia Akhmat over 1.5 goals 62%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#15

La Liga · Spain Mallorca over 1.5 goals 60%

#16

Championship · England Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals 60%

✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 54%

#17

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 59%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#18

Premier League · Russia FC Rostov over 1.5 goals 57%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

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La Liga · Spain Almeria over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin over 1.5 goals 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Over 2.5 Goals Home Banker Goal Fest

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Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 4 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs Teplice (Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals) at 82% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.