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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 5 March 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Reims vs Ajaccio (Reims over 1.5 goals) at 77% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims over 1.5 goals 77%
Reims
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor over 1.5 goals 75%
Adana Demirspor
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 68%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 65%
Olympiakos Piraeus
6 : 0 FT
Levadiakos
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 21%
Win 5%
✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 61%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk over 1.5 goals 64%
Waalwijk
0 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals 64%
FC Kharkiv
0 : 7 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 63%
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 goals 60%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals 59%
Cambuur
4 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 59%
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo over 1.5 goals 59%
Dynamo
1 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano over 1.5 goals 58%
FC Sion
1 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo over 1.5 goals 57%
Colo Colo
2 : 0 FT
Magallanes
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp over 1.5 goals 56%
Antwerp
5 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Antwerp Clean Sheet 53%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United over 1.5 goals 55%
BG Pathum United
1 : 3 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 5 March 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Reims vs Ajaccio (Reims over 1.5 goals) at 77% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.