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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 3 March 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 3 March 2023. PEC Zwolle vs Den Bosch (PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals 79%
PEC Zwolle
13 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 73%
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV over 1.5 goals 65%
MVV
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 64%
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia Fakel over 1.5 goals 62%
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Khimki
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals 61%
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 57%
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 7 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 3 March 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Den Bosch (PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.